miércoles, 15 de febrero de 2017

2016 Migratory Report by Matias Cavoti Part 3: Mexico and the Central American Northern Triangle (El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras)


Resultado de imagen para central american migrant mexico
Mexico  and the Central American Northern Triangle (El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras): The  Fatal Journey of 2015 report establishes that Mexico is a transit country that has a characteristic of having ainternal vertical border that goes from south to north, where Central Americans migrants experience total illegality, vulnerability, marginalization and suffering at the hands of criminal organizations praying on them the whole way extorting, enslaving, torturing, kidnapping migrants holding them for  ransom. To understand the level of violence migrants have to deal with,  for example,  more Honduran nationals have died in their trek north from homicides related to organized crime than from riding on top of trains like the Beast. Another example of gangs ominous presence on the routes, it is known that the Mara Salvatrucha controls whole sections of the transit routes and migrants must pay to pass. Now what is fascinating to discover when working on this subject is that in the TIP report only makes marginal mention of this situation with the Maras or with any other form of organized crime, and the report in general is too soft on Mexico  omitting some major issues, the whole section on this country is pretty short even though it is a major transit country for mix migratory flows that have had some major problems during 2014-2015, like the massive arrival of unaccompanied Central Americans minors.     
It must be noted that in most of the sources used for this report mentions that trafficking in persons in this region has become a major issue, while  the State Departments TIP study qualifies all of these countries, Mexico, the Northern Triangle States and Nicaragua, as Tier 2, even though human trafficking is a problem especially smuggling and forced recruitment into gangs. Adding to this these States have major institutional and structural limitations fighting these migratory crimes, having to deal with deep-rooted corruption among public officials. But the US Report chooses not to criticize these countries especially Mexico, possibly  because they are collaborating with the Obama administration trying to stop the flow of migrants from arriving at the United States Sothern border even overlooking some problems and possible human rights violations  so they do not have to downgrade any of these countries TIP classification from Tier 2 to Tier 2 watch list. In the case of Mexico, there have been accusations in various reports and new articles of heavy-handed policing, poor treatment towards irregular migrants, lack of infrastructure for detention centers for deportation, corruption of State officials and not taking petitions for asylum from possible refugees.    
Before we move on, we must explain what are these "tiers", in the TIP report it is a grading system for the Human Trafficking situations of each country in covered in its pages. Tier 1 is for States that meet the requirements are at least the minimum standers of the Trafficking Victims Protection Act of 2000 (TVPA) which its sole purpose is to fight Human Trafficking and raise awareness. Tier 2 countries are those that do not meet the minimum standard but are putting in a great effort to do so. Tier 2 Watch List, are States even though they are putting effort into battle trafficking in persons but the lack of progress leads to the country downgrade, if a country is more than two years in a row in this classification it will be downgrade again to tier 3. And finally tier 3, these are  States that do not meet any of the TVPA's minimum standards and are not making any or very little effort in stopping human trafficking. 
What characterized the migratory situation in Mexico  and the Southern border of the United State last few years was  sudden and massive flow of unaccompanied minors from Central America, in 2014 Mexican authorities intercepted 68.631  minors transiting through its territory, United States border guards stopped 52.000 minors in 2014 and 28.387 in 2015 (Ahmed NY 2016). Gang violence, lack of opportunities, severe drought affecting the agricultural sector of their respective countries and searching for family member already established in the US, had generated a mass exodus of minors from central America adding to the rest of the already existing flow of economic migrants, asylum seekers, refugees and stateless people.
Now this phenomenon of the unaccompanied minors as explained in a report by the Congressional Research Services establishes the way that this situation manifested itself was a sudden surge of people arriving in a very similar fashion as one would see with massive displacements after a natural disaster or a military conflict, but having its own particular dynamic to itself, a flow of children that are particularly easy targets for traffickers to exploit and for gangs in the area to force into their membership, so if this situation wasn't addressed quickly things could get worse and quickly.
With a potential crisis looming US government engaged and pressured Mexico to step up control and stop as many migrants possible in their transit through its territory. Mexico's deportations jumped from 78.000  in 2013 to 170.000 in 2015 (Ahmed NY 2016), filtering large amounts of migrants from getting to the US border in the first place, acting as a buffer. Mexico with financial help from the United States, started heavy policing on its southern border adding more security at its 12 points of entry in the south with its borders with Guatemala and Belize, controlling freight trains heading north, like the Beast and other cargo vehicles and creating 100 mobile checkpoints throughout its territory.  But in the context of this heightened control irregular migrants especially those headed north ended up pushing migrant off the normal route they were taking, choosing more risky options in their transit, possibly using services of smugglers and having to deal with gangs, police or State officials.    
The US government put into motion Operation Coyote in 2014 and Operation Coyote 2.0 in 2015, working with Mexican authorities to bring smuggler to justice taking extra steps to try and capture them at the border, and also trying to dismantle the networks in Mexico.
Now let us briefly address the push factors from the Northern Triangle States and Nicaragua,   gang violence and major criminal activities in these countries  can be traced back to the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigration act 1996 were the United State deported 46.000 convicts between 1998 to 2005(Ahmed NY 2016), including members of the Mara Salvatrucha and the 18th Street gangs, setting the groundwork for organized crime flourish in these unprepared countries. Adding to this situation the fatal journeys study establishes that Mexico War on Drugs, pushed their organized crime south to these countries, while South American drug cartels started to use this region for transit of their goods, pretty much disrupting these societies with a strong spike in violence and crime in these nations, this added to the poor  economic situation of these States were already going through. These push factors have been so persistent since the 80's has generated a culture of migration in these countries.  All three northern triangle States made the UN's top ten countries with the highest homicide rate in the world in 2014, with Guatemala in fifth place with 39.9 (per 10.000), El Salvador is in fourth place with 41.2 and Honduras in first place with 90.4 (CNN 2014).   
The US government also engaged with these countries to try different types of way not only sending these nations 750 million dollars Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador to help these countries to address this problem. The Obama administration has invested trying to create public awareness in these countries of the dangers of irregular migration, using billboards and public service announcements.
A big issue for the families that are left behind in the Central American countries are there missing love ones that migrated north, but never contacted them again possibly having died in the transit.  And in the Fatal Journey 2016 study I must be noted there is no coordinated system for tracking migrants deaths in Mexico of  Central Americans, there are no centralized statistics on migrants, little effort to identify or repatriate bodies.  So Central American countries have established a joint project to identify missing migrants collecting information on bodies found along the route comparing it with the info given by the families. This is a collaboration with national governments of El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala, with the Mexican State of Chiapas, NGOs and family associations, these are bottom-up initiatives started by the citizens in their respective State pushing the governments into action.  

martes, 7 de febrero de 2017

2016 Migratory Report by Matias Cavoti Part 2: United States of America/ Land of the Free and ¿Home of the Illegals? (Work in progress)



Resultado de imagen para the wall mexico USA


United States of America/ Land of the Free and  ¿Home of the Illegals? (Destination Country and Tier 1) :  
To begin let's get a quick  migratory picture the United States before entering the subject Illegal Migrants and how the Obama administration handled this complicated issue. The U.S.   is the country that has a largest immigrant population in the world[1]  42.4 million people that makes up for 13.3% of its population of 318.9 million (Migration Policy Institute/MPI 2016 )  and around 11 million of those foreign born people are undocumented/illegal migrants living which make up 5% of its work force (Le Monde Atlas of Minorities 2014), there has been a strong demand Illegal migrants that are a flexible supply of low skilled workers that are not affect by the  United States migrant quota system, with "relatively little enforcement  against illegal aliens at U.S worksites" (P 9.Hason 2007). So one can affirm that business are the big winners with the actual status quo who capitalize on the use of Illegal migrants as their principal work force and illegals have a positive impact on federal tax revenue  individual States feel the strain on the public services and there tax payers suffer higher taxes. The "illegal immigration" pins the States and local labor forces against the Federal Government, business and the American consumer.    
Now let's explain very briefly the basic US migratory policy, which can be characterized as a regulation policy. Migrants have three options to work in the US:
·         Becoming a legal permanent resident, normally be being a family member of a US citizen, and in these cases are exempted of quota restrictions.
·         Temporary Work in the United State, which must be sponsored by a company for example. There is a quota 65.000 three year visas per year and 66.000.
·         Entering Illegally to the country.
 In a report written by Gordon Hanson called "The Economic Logic of Illegal Immigration" for serial publication Council of Foreign Relation, explains that for example that 958.000 migrants got there permanent residencies in 2004, in a processes that takes 5 years, which 66% had been eligible because of having family members in the country, 16% thanks to their employer sponsorship and 7% where refugees. Now out of this group 61% of these individuals were at some moment Illegal Aliens. After being accepted as permanent residents these people with 5 more years of naturalization they are eligible for citizenship. Now Gordon Hanson explains that Illegal migrants are very flexible work force that are not affected by the US migratory quota system, so they can easily satisfy spikes in labor demand this is way business is quick to defend migrants and vouch for them to obtain residencies when needed.
But what is a Illegal Migrant/Immigrant a term that seems so prevalent especially during the US election cycle in 2016? Now for the IOM the term is not correct and should not be used, and  the correct form to refer to a person that  has entered illegally into  a country, be it the United States like any other, or over stayed there time of permanence, should be called a irregular migrant and one must add that they do not have the right to transit in the country or stay (IOM 2011). The illegal aspect may be the migrants transit or crossing into the country or their overstay, but they cannot be considered themselves as illegals.
Now something curious is that the term illegal migrant  isn't the correct term in the United States either even thought politicians and public officials use it all the time, the correct way to describe these people is illegal alien or undocumented alien which has a definition very similar word for word to IOM's irregular migrant but adds that these migrants are deportable.
So why is the term illegal migrant is used? It has  strong criminal  and political connotation, the IOM affirms that it denies any basic humanity towards these migrants  (IOM 2011) and elevates them to the grade of a menace especial when used by  right wing politicians, that scapegoats on migrants to gain political capital and backing among their constituency, but one must note that the left also sometimes uses this term in a patronizing way when needed. Now the irresponsible use of the term Illegal Migrant  especially by Donald Trump during the election cycle of 2016 has lowered general public sensitivity and empathy towards these people and has over simplified a very complex international phenomena, with easy fixes, to a conundrum within a quagmire.      
 A underlying  mentality  that has been around gaining traction since Reagan's Amnesty, that if migrants break the law,  if anything bad happens to them, they brought it onto themselves, not paying much regard to what drives these people or way they were pushed out of their country in the first place. This negative mentality generates a situation where migrants  risk of  labor exploitation, being taken advantage of by organized crime and the risk of dying in the crossing.
There is a certain level of ambivalences and double standard  towards illegal aliens by the State and the possibility to obtain a permanent residence and a possible citizenship also leads to certain speculation from illegal aliens that take a tremendous risks because till they regularize their situation they can be deported out of the country. To understand this situation better with a metaphor, till aliens get their legal residencies they have a elastic cord stretching all the way back to the border ready to snap them write back if anything goes wrong, this illustration helps understand the precarious situation of these people and that there transit is not complete until they get their papers in order the border is literally one step away.      
The only major United State Policy towards trying to resolve the illegal migrants problem goes all the way back to the Ronald Reagan Precedence with the  1986 Reform and Control Act (IRCA), which granted amnesty for all Illegal aliens that had arrive before 1982, but from that point would establish that the government would crack down on Illegal migrants, monitor companies so they would not contract them and establish a strong border enforcement.
Now in the report  Fatal Journeys (FJ) by the IOM it affirms that the "story of  migrants death in North America is a story of exclusion and exposure" (FJ 2015). Migrants and especial poor undocumented migrants are increasingly seen as a negative other, especially  for a certain parts of the US society, being viewed  as the ones responsible a wide range of  growing social problems in the country, from competing and stealing jobs from Americans too being a security risk to the country being involved in criminal activities from drug trafficking to terrorism, one must observe that the moment they became visible, having been able to obtain limited upward social mobility, breaking the paradigm of poor illegal migrants that remain isolated and invisible,  they altered the ontological security[2], basically altering the day to day for Americans, and because of this they became a easy target for the discriminatory discourse of Donald Trump, pushing a securitization agenda against illegals that basically are the scourge of society especially focusing on illegal Mexicans who are a grave security risk for the country, promising to deport as many as possible and to build a wall on the Mexico border, which this nation will pay for.  
But what happened during the Obama administration that generated such back lash against illegal aliens? Barak Obama's administrations migratory policy towards illegal aliens, was focused on deporting of criminals and recent unauthorized aliens, having opted not to use voluntary returns,  which was more prevalent during previous administrations, because it does not generate legal repercussions and paper trail, opting for  formal removals with legal proceedings and criminal charges for illegal entries or reentries.
Here are the statistic of deportations of the last three years of Obama's administration[3]:

Apprehensions
Removals
Returns
Total Deportation
2014
479.371
407.075
163.245
570.370
2015
331.333
333.341
129.122
462.463
2016
408.870
344.354
106.600
450.954
Totals
1.219.574
1084770
398.967
1.483.787

Now here are Obama's administration  totals  from his  two terms compared to the Clinton's and Bush's presidency, which each also had two terms[4]:

Apprehensions
Removals
Returns
Total Deportation
Clinton
11.036.463
869.646
11.421.259
12.290.905
Bush
8.055.633
2.012.539
8.316.311
10.328.850
Obama
3.307.017
3.094.208
2.186.907
5.281.115
Totals
22.399.113
5.976.393
21.924.477
27.900.870

The lower overall total of deportations during Obama's administration  can be attributed to the fact that throughout these years the Mexican economy was doing well while the U.S. was dealing with a low labor demand in its post recession economy and Obama had "inherited a formidable immigration machine" for migratory control especially at southern of the border (Chishti/MPI, 2016). Now the policy shift  mentioned  before to formal removals over voluntary returns, observable in the statistics, has produced a drop in recurring aliens, those who have been formally removed and try  to cross again has dropped 29% in 2007 to 14% 2014. With formal removals illegal aliens formally have criminal records so their chances to get legal residencies or any kind of job, are off the table. But on the other hand in U:S. government shift and focus policing the border has established a implicit policy to leave illegal migrants  alone who have integrated themselves and do not get into trouble with the law, and this worked in tandem with the local policies of sanctuary cities like Los Angeles or San Francisco. And  here where Trump gets his political traction against Illegal aliens and implicitly against immigrants in general, gaining favor from the Alt Right.
Now those  migrants and smugglers that cross illegally with  success having penetrated more than 100 mile into United States territory or have  taken advantage of the US policy of segmented enforcement, which only guards the main legal and illegal crossing points not going deep into the desert falling back on the natural barriers of this inhospitable geography. Now segmented enforcement has causes the problem  of  funneling imprudent migrants into dangerous areas put their live at risk. Us Border Patrol estimates that 6.500 (P 26. FJ2) border death since 1998 and 320 during 2015, with three major causes being  the Rio Grande, the southern desert and violence at the border, and one must note that these are deaths on the US side of the border,  and the report  does not have the statistics of the Mexican side and there is a known number of missing especially in the dessert areas where many times entrances goes totally undetected.    


[1]The Top Ten countries with the most overall migrants from 2015  in  order  The United States of America is first, Germany second, Russia third, Saudi Arabia fourth, United Kingdom fifth, United Arab Emirates sixth, Canada seventh, France eighth, Australia ninth and finally in tenth place  Spain (MPI 2016). 
[2] Ontological Security: Can be define  as a  form of security that is provided by order, continuity and stability in the lives of the citizen of a country,  this approximately summarizes the concept developed by Anthony Giddens (1979).
[3] Source MPI (2016)
[4] Source MPI (2016)

lunes, 6 de febrero de 2017

2016 Migratory Report by Matias Cavoti Part 1 Introduction Definition of Migrant



IntroductionResultado de imagen para migrant

Ever since the Lampedusa shipwreck back in October of 2013, that put migrants and their plight on a 24/7 news cycle,  viewers got to see in real time the slow evolution of a Migratory and Refugee crisis that climaxed in late 2015. This coverage from global news networks sparked a strong social/political debate over migrant  control, immigration flows and migratory policy or lack there of, and this debate been going on the last three years topping many States political agendas, there has been a large number of reports by international organizations like from the International Organization form Migrations that use the Lampedusa event as a starting point but explain that migrants fatalities have slowly have been on the rise for the last 15 years,  because of lack of legal access to destination countries like the United States or the member countries of the EU, through legal/political means, for example, establishing travel visas or not permitting access  legal residencies in host countries and even physical barriers like building walls  with tight border control, just to name a few, have hindered the opportunities of many migrants pushing them to take risk in trying to reach and enter the country they want to immigrate to, many time putting their life in danger. And  what has become increasing evident observing major destination countries and even transit States, the last five years, is that their migratory policies are outdated or even broken,  the tools that they use to manage migratory  flows are buckling under pressure  because of the increasing amount of people arriving, and for example  as this report will explain many destinations States like the United States of America and even transit countries like Mexico, do not take the proper statics on migrants border deaths or missing, so it's pretty hard to establish the proper actions to curve illegal transits, because the places where border deaths occur are the same places where migrants and smugglers try to crosses illegally so State cannot take the appropriate actions because they are basically operating in the dark in many cases.
This brief report will concentrate on the migratory flows themselves, the dangers that migrants face in their migration, analyze the politics behind this transnational phenomena and explain some central migratory concepts. For example, Push and Pull factors will be only mentioned only when needed. The time frame for this study will be from the Lampedusa shipwreck in October 2013 to September of 2016 when Frontex becomes the official Border control and Coast Guard of the European Union which seem to be a real game changer. And this Report will mainly focus on the migratory flows that cross Central America crossing Mexico to the United State,  Easter and Western African flows heading north and the eastern European flows, these four  major areas are major migratory hotspots which International Organization for Migration (IOM) has made a series of reports during last three years, the United State Department of State Trafficking In Persons of 2016, Frontex Quarterly Reports and news articles from various  sources. 
Now this study  will center on  migrants and will leave refugees mostly out of analysis because both these two international phenomena are distinctly different but are actually growing into each other, the line between them is getting harder to define so it's fundamental to establish some basic concepts like migrant before moving on with this report to understand exactly what is being referenced to eliminate any misconceptions or errors of interpretations, first and foremost Migrant must be defined, and one must note that IOM has modified their definition of migrant in 2016 so we'll work  with the new definition and the old one, to see the evolution of the concept that was needed to better understand the phenomena: 
"IOM defines a migrant as any person who is moving or has moved across an international border or within a State away from his/her habitual place of residence, regardless of (1) the person’s legal status; (2) whether the movement is voluntary or involuntary; (3) what the causes of the movement are; or (4) what the length of the stay is (IOM 2016)[1]". But this definition adds new elements that were not present in the previous one which defined migrants as "people or group of individuals that move from one geographic unit to another crossing administrative or political frontiers with the intention establishing themselves temporarily or permanently in a place different from their place of birth (IOM 2011)".  
The newer definition explicitly covers more theoretical terrain while the older one does cover the same issues, but implicitly and with some level of interpretation.  The first difference is the reference to the legal status that is made explicit the fact that migrants can be legal, temporary, permanent, illegal, irregular, undocumented, refugees, stateless and displaced by humanitarian or environmental disasters. Now  even though Refugees can be considered migrants, this particular concept has been separated and treated distinctly differently for  traditional migrations, but as referenced previously in the report  as of late the theoretical line drawn between these two concepts have become increasingly blurred with the ever growing mix migratory flows that have been observed the last   20 years. So it's  impossible to leave refugees totally out of the analysis because the flows in  many cases are mixed having a symbiotic relationship in some cases migrants capitalizing off refugees and vice versa, this will be illustrated later in the report when it will be explained how migrants took advantage of the Syrian refugee crisis to enter the Europe.
Now back the factors that differentiated these two concepts is that migrants travel and reestablish themselves voluntarily while refugees are pushed out of their country involuntarily, now with this new definition establishes that in both cases they are considered migrants be it voluntary or not and puts both under the same theoretical umbrella.
One must note that in  July of  2016 of the International Organization for Migrants (IOM) official became a related organization to the United Nations, this will give the UN mandate for the first time on migratory issues and when this happened both institutions made joint declaration referred to Refugees and Migrants, the UN and IOM, established and reaffirmed some key principals that I would like to highlights:
·         Even though migrants and refugees each have unique legal definitions, people that are migrants or refugee have the same universal human rights, and even though migration must be an option, not an obligation. But   It's getting harder to separate the flow of refugees and migrants, mixed flow are growing more common.
·  
· 
·    
Now having established what is a migrant, it is fundamental to understand what is a Migratory  Policy (MP), it can established that it is an  important political tool and has become hot topic in many countries during the last  10 years and for example it took center stage during the 2016 US election with diametrically opposed positions held by the candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, in how to manage the migratory flows in direction towards their country and what to do with the illegal migrants that are already in its national territory. Now for nations that are the destination for large masses of immigrants, they are in great need for tools to act and control migratory flows that are directed in their direction and through a proper MP, for example, can help recipient  States to capitalize on the human capital migrants represent.  So basically the objective for a migratory policy is to find a way to manage the flow of people entering (or exiting) a country temporarily or permanently and how can it serve best the needs/interests of the host country. Migratory policies can have the objective of retaining, promoting, regulating, incorporating, recovering and even blocking or redirecting migrants (Marmora 2002)[2].  
Also, we must define the what is trafficking of persons or human trafficking, concepts that will be recurring issues in this report, they are umbrella terms for the act of recruiting, harboring, transport, providing or obtaining a person compelled labor or commercial sex acts through the use of force, fraud or coercion. (TIP 2016). The TIP report establishes that movement isn't obligatory, a person can be subjected to human trafficking in their own hometown, but for the sake of this report, we will only highlight most important international cases where people are forced or tricked to cross international borders.



[1] http://www.iom.int/who-is-a-migrant
[2] The last two policies are not referenced by Marmora in his book The Policies of International Migrations, in his book he tends to omit that blocking or redirecting migrants is an option for the State, but these options a very real and are applied often.